Bayern Munich continues his run towards the eight straight Bundesliga title. They are currently one point ahead of Borussia Dortmund, who won today and needs to win in Berlin against Union, who isn’t a pleasant host at all. The Bavarians are massive favorites coming into this one, but then again, the long pause is something that might have affected them.
Preview
Union Berlin
The newcomers in the league are currently 12th in the standings and are seven points away from the play-out spot and 12 from the relegation place. So pretty much they look safe and don’t have to be under pressure coming into this match. This circumstance is, in fact, their biggest weapon against the absolute favorites, and they can use it in their own advantage. Bayern is in a must-win situation, with the players miles away from the top form, which is perfect for some surprise.
Union was without a win for three games before the hiatus but played very interesting matches with lots of goals. They would score and allow at least one goal in the latest five events, and all those games saw three or more hits. Furthermore, only one didn’t end with four goals. So we may say that this crew enjoys playing open and offensive football, which is great news for all those who like to bet on goals.
They have a positive record at home, six wins, one draw and five losses with 18:16 goal difference.
Marvin Friedrich is suspended for this event, Sheraldo Becker, Sebastian Anderson, and Laurenz Dehl won’t play because of injuries.
Bayern Munich
Well, there isn’t much to say about the German champions over the past seven years. They are one of the most dominant teams in the Champions League, and were starting to accelerate in the domestic championship, but the pause interrupted them. Did that leave a mark on them? Well, we can’t quite tell. What we do know is that they have to beat Union; otherwise, their situation at the top will complicate a lot.
Bayern won the last four in Bundesliga, scoring 15 goals and allowing just three. However, they won five latest on the road in this competition, and in all of them, they netted at least three times. Eventually, the goal difference in those games is 20:3 in their favor, and that is something pretty impressive. So, we will stop here.
Philippe Coutinho is out due to his ankle injury, Niklas Sule, and Corentin Tolisso won’t play either.
Head to Head Games
The first match of the season ended with Bayern’s tight 2-1 win. Benjamin Pavard and Robert Lewandowski scored goals for the Bavarians, and Sebastian Polter decreased the gap from the penalty four minutes before the end.
Prediction
As we said, Bayern is the absolute favorite in this matchup. Anything else but their win would be a first-class sensation. We are aware that there are many fans who are hoping to see the Bavarians slipping and making this championship interesting. Still, the probabilities of this actually happening are too low.
Odds on Bayern’s plain win are too low, 0.18, so we have to find some other pick which would give us a more substantial profit. Our tipsters believe that Bayern to win with an Asian handicap -1.75 is the perfect fit for this. Odds here are 0.61, which is pretty good, having in mind the risk on the other side. Also, try with plenty of goals and combine them with two or more in the first 45 minutes.
